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“In India, companies may fall sick, but promoters rarely do!”

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Sensex and Nifty up 50% in Six Months !…Where to now !

On September 27,2008,seven months ago the Sensex was 13000 and I had put up a contrarion blog https://www.gauravblog.com/?tag=contrarion-investment-strategy I had said the Sensex is moving towards a Distress Zone and will break below 10000 to provide a great opportunity to build wealth over the coming years…so one should bring in Fresh funds to top up …

Sensex and Nifty up 50% in Six Months !…Where to now ! Read More »

Don’t Short this Market !..you’re up against Momentum driven by Liquidity

Don’t Short this Market ! Fundamentals and Valuations are being shrugged of by Increasing Liquidity and Inflows…This momentum is driving the Nifty and Sensex to new recent highs Two Leading Broking Houses have literally overnight turned very bullish and talk of a Sensex range of 12500 to 14500 in the near term Maybe they know …

Don’t Short this Market !..you’re up against Momentum driven by Liquidity Read More »

Can the Sensex be at 15000 even if the Dow drops to 5000 ! ? That’s a decoupled View

So the Sensex surged,ten days consecutively, to 11284 yesterday, and then quickly corrected sharply down to 10947,down 337 points today…It was just above 8000 in early March,a little over a month ago What do you make of it ! ? Two camps here : The First Camp is Bullish and  talks of a Bull run happening…We’re …

Can the Sensex be at 15000 even if the Dow drops to 5000 ! ? That’s a decoupled View Read More »

Sensex at 11200 ! Risk to Continue Riding the Momentum is High…Caution Indicated

Sensex has climbed above it’s 200 DMA Levels and is currently 11200,pushing upwards…Nifty too is at 3450 levels Caution is advised…We’re now at 13 times…Elections are on us and the mandate is unclear…Infosys has just announced lower earnings expected for FY 10…Satyam legal hassles begin playing up in June with the Upaid Trial….India’s Fiscal Deficit …

Sensex at 11200 ! Risk to Continue Riding the Momentum is High…Caution Indicated Read More »

A Yellow Broking House Screams Yellow on using P/E and P/BV Valuation Metrics to make Macro Valuation Calls !..Absurd and Rubbish they say ! Not really, we say !

There’s this Yellow Coloured Broking House,that’s been screaming Yellow ! for some time Now…Last Week they used Slumdog Millionaire Analogy and Two days ago they have slammed Valuation Metrics of P/E and P/BV to value our Stock Markets !…This House continues to court controversies and it’s head SS continues to confront SEBI !…. Atleast I …

A Yellow Broking House Screams Yellow on using P/E and P/BV Valuation Metrics to make Macro Valuation Calls !..Absurd and Rubbish they say ! Not really, we say ! Read More »

We need Long Term Structured Option Contracts…need to LEAP into LEAPS

I was just wondering…..Currently there is so much volatility in all markets,be it Equity or Commodities…due to earnings uncertainties,anxieties about health of global economy and Financial Systems Most Experts are advising to think Long Term…Naturally…3 Years + atleast Then why is it that we have Derivative Contracts structured only for a maximum of Three Months… for …

We need Long Term Structured Option Contracts…need to LEAP into LEAPS Read More »

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