Disclaimer at the Outset : This is merely a Compilation that is in Public Domain.Though I do like a few Ideas,please do not assume or take it as given that I am endorsing any of these.Investors need to make their own call after assessing the Scrip’s Value and Price Risks and should seek Professional help,if needed, in doing so rather than just lap up these Ideas as definite Winners in 2014 ~ No one likes even a Notional Loss !
For those who are Interested these are the Current & Diwali Picks 2013 by some Broking & FII Houses
Sectors like Banking,Steel,Pharma and Healthcare,Technology,Agro,Oil & Gas,and Infra seem to find favour
Most of them have played safe ~ Some Ideas are fairly Core and Common like ICICI Bank,Reliance Industries and Axis Bank
Tata Steel has recovered well from lower levels and come back into favour this year and remains a Buy with most of them
Surprisingly I don’t spot Larsen & Toubro in any List !
The Undertone clearly remains bullish,but only just….driven by the Liquidity of over US $ 16 billion Net FII Inflows this year that has boosted Sentiment & Momentum and taken the Sensex and Nifty to record all time Highs of 21250+ and 6300+ respectively ~ What is interesting is that Macro Valuations are not really outlandish or even expensive ~ however these must be viewed in the overhang of the Indian & Global Macro issues that continue to unnerve and cause uncertainty
From these you can observe the Interesting High Potential Gain Ideas :
- Ashoka Buildcon from Emkay who are targeting an 84% rise in it
- Cadila from Angel Broking who are expecting a 35% rise in it
- United Phosphorous from Angel Broking who are targeting a 37% rise in it
- Adani Group Companies ! ~ Adani Ports & Adani Power by Goldman Sachs who state that these mid infra companies are at Low Valuations but the apparent reason is they are banking on Narendra Modi coming to power at the Centre too ~ in their own words they have ‘Modi-fied ‘ the Nifty upward
Microsec 11 Diwali Picks |
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Company |
CMP (29/10/13) |
Target Price (1 Yr) |
Upside Potential (%) |
Axis |
1251.20 |
1458.00 |
16.53 |
Cairn India |
315.90 |
415.00 |
31.37 |
Exide Ind |
124.00 |
153.00 |
23.39 |
GMDC |
105.00 |
133.00 |
26.67 |
ICICI Bank |
1075.45 |
1204.00 |
11.95 |
Pidilite Ind |
265.00 |
330.00 |
24.53 |
Rallis India |
153.85 |
185.00 |
20.25 |
Tata Steel |
326.00 |
410.00 |
25.77 |
Tech Mahindra |
1523.30 |
1793.00 |
17.70 |
Nifty |
6220.90 |
6860.00 |
10.27 |
Nifty is trading at 12.70 times FY 15 Exp EPS of 490 and should move towards 14 times by next Diwali to give a target of 6860 |
Emkay Global Financial Services 8 @ Diwali Picks |
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Company |
CMP (30/10/13) |
Target Price (1 Yr) |
Upside Potential (%) |
LIC Housing Finance |
219 |
260 |
18.72 |
Ashoka Buildcon Ltd |
45 |
83 |
84.44 |
Nestle India |
5597 |
5000 |
(10.67) |
Lupin Ltd |
902 |
996 |
10.42 |
Havells India Ltd |
751 |
770 |
2.53 |
Bharti Airtel |
360 |
400 |
11.11 |
Grasim Industries Ltd |
2810 |
3500 |
24.56 |
Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Ltd |
214 |
250 |
16.82 |
ICICIDirect 5 Diwali Picks but no Targets given |
|
Company |
CMP (30/10/13) |
SBI |
1740 |
Bajaj Auto |
2094 |
Wipro |
486 |
ENIL |
296 |
Bajaj Electricals |
161 |
Angel Broking 10 Diwali Picks |
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Company |
CMP (23/10/13) |
Target Price (1 Yr) |
Upside Potential (%) |
Wipro |
492 |
567 |
15.24 |
ICICI Bank |
1025 |
1181 |
15.22 |
Hindustan Zinc |
135 |
156 |
15.56 |
Axis Bank |
1210 |
1392 |
15.04 |
Cipla |
423 |
504 |
19.15 |
Tata Steel |
335 |
390 |
16.42 |
Cadila |
660 |
894 |
35.45 |
United Phosphorous |
164 |
225 |
37.20 |
Aurobindo Pharma |
216 |
271 |
25.46 |
Crompton Greaves |
98 |
115 |
17.35 |
Sensex |
20768 |
22600 |
8.8 |
Expect the Sensex EPS to post a growth of 9.6 percent for FY2014 to 1307 and a healthier 15.4 percent for FY2015 to 1508. Attributing a 15x multiple to our Sensex EPS (in line with the 5-year average), we arrive at a target of 22,600 for the Sensex, implying an upside of 8.8 percent from the present levels.
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Goldman Sachs
Goldman says technology, healthcare, and energy are its top sectors.
Goldman says it likes technology stocks including HCL Technologies and Tech Mahindra, oil and energy scrips such as Reliance Industries, Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd and Coal India Ltd, banks including Yes Bank and IndusInd Bank and select auto and cement stocks.
The US bank also included some mid-cap infrastructure stocks which are trading at inexpensive valuations such as Adani Power, NHPC Ltd, Materials stocks like Grasim Industries, and industrials stocks like Container Corp of India and Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone.
Nomura
Nomura’s top five strategy picks are now ICICI Bank , HCL Technologies , Reliance Industries , Tata Steel and NTPC .